THIRD FORGEFinancials
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Financials

Two-Year Financial Forecast

FY2027–FY2028 (Aug 2026 – Jul 2028) • Importation wholesale, light assembly & FAT testing • 100% prepaid group orders • 6-month shelf inventory + 4-month pipeline
Startup Equity
$2.0M
fully funded, no debt
Year 1 Revenue
$2.23M
ramp from Nov 2026
Year 2 Revenue
$4.06M
steady state
Year 2 EBITDA
$745K
18% of revenue
Minimum Cash
$118K
Apr 2027 trough
Cash at Jul 2028
$1.05M
rebuilt post-ramp
Cash & EBITDA by Quarter
Cash is quarter-end balance; EBITDA is for the quarter. Trough of $117.5K in Q3 FY27 reflects inventory build (shelf + pipeline) funded ahead of steady-state prepayment float.
Quarterly Income Statement ($000s)
Cost of sales includes direct labour (QC + Assembly technicians). Pre-tax presentation.
Quarter-End Balance Sheet ($000s)
Deferred revenue = customer prepayments (next ~4 months of orders). Balance check ties to zero every month.
Startup Capital — $2.0M Equity
Office build-out$675,000
Shop build-out (racking, forklift, make-up air, benches, test area)$250,000
Other startup costs$46,000
Peak working capital (inventory ramp net of prepayments)$911,463
Operating buffer$117,537
Total equity funding$2,000,000
Key Ratios (quarter-end)
Oct-26Jan-27Apr-27Jul-27Oct-27Jan-28Apr-28Jul-28
Current Ratio (goal 2.00)2.481.691.711.851.992.122.262.40
Debt to Equity (goal 1.50)0.330.700.740.680.630.580.540.51
Quick Ratio1.510.410.090.220.360.500.640.78
Only liability is deferred revenue (customer prepayments) — no bank debt in the operating company.
Source: Third_Forge_2yr_Financial_Model.xlsx — update this page when the model changes.