Two-Year Financial Forecast
FY2027–FY2028 (Aug 2026 – Jul 2028) • Importation wholesale, light assembly & FAT testing • 100% prepaid group orders • 6-month shelf inventory + 4-month pipeline
Startup Equity
$2.0M
fully funded, no debt
Year 1 Revenue
$2.23M
ramp from Nov 2026
Year 2 Revenue
$4.06M
steady state
Year 2 EBITDA
$745K
18% of revenue
Minimum Cash
$118K
Apr 2027 trough
Cash at Jul 2028
$1.05M
rebuilt post-ramp
Cash & EBITDA by Quarter
Cash is quarter-end balance; EBITDA is for the quarter. Trough of $117.5K in Q3 FY27 reflects inventory build (shelf + pipeline) funded ahead of steady-state prepayment float.
Quarterly Income Statement ($000s)
Cost of sales includes direct labour (QC + Assembly technicians). Pre-tax presentation.
Quarter-End Balance Sheet ($000s)
Deferred revenue = customer prepayments (next ~4 months of orders). Balance check ties to zero every month.
Startup Capital — $2.0M Equity
| Office build-out | $675,000 |
| Shop build-out (racking, forklift, make-up air, benches, test area) | $250,000 |
| Other startup costs | $46,000 |
| Peak working capital (inventory ramp net of prepayments) | $911,463 |
| Operating buffer | $117,537 |
| Total equity funding | $2,000,000 |
Key Ratios (quarter-end)
| Oct-26 | Jan-27 | Apr-27 | Jul-27 | Oct-27 | Jan-28 | Apr-28 | Jul-28 |
| Current Ratio (goal 2.00) | 2.48 | 1.69 | 1.71 | 1.85 | 1.99 | 2.12 | 2.26 | 2.40 |
| Debt to Equity (goal 1.50) | 0.33 | 0.70 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.51 | 0.41 | 0.09 | 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 0.64 | 0.78 |
Only liability is deferred revenue (customer prepayments) — no bank debt in the operating company.
Source: Third_Forge_2yr_Financial_Model.xlsx — update this page when the model changes.